Today’s Market Trend

WTI crude prices are remaining strong in the $53.50-$54/b range this morning. WTI opened at $53.81/b today, an increase of $0.13 from Friday’s opening price. Price rose above $54/b overnight, but have receded this morning. Current prices are $53.72/b, $0.11 below Friday’s close. Product prices showed a similar pattern with overnight strengthening and a slight retreat this morning.

Last week’s supply-demand fundamentals were bearish: another across-the-board stock increase, weak demand, and another increase in the active rig count. Baker Hughes reported Friday that the active rig count rose by 17, following an increase of 18 rigs the prior week, and 35 rigs during the week ended January 20^th.

Nonetheless, prices have remained strong. OPEC’s success at cutting crude production is providing the first pillar of support for prices, but a new pillar has been added by the rise in geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Following an Iranian ballistic missile test, President Trump signed an executive order imposing sanctions on certain Iranian individuals and entities. The new Executive Branch in the U.S. already is proving ready to act quickly and unilaterally. This will create a more volatile environment for oil prices.

Distillate opened at $1.6724/gallon in today’s session, an increase of 1.38 cents from Friday’s opening. Current prices are $1.67/gallon, up 0.49 cents from Friday’s close.

RBOB opened at $1.555/gallon today, a increase of 1.9 cents from yesterday’s opening. Current prices are $1.5564/gallon today, up 0.27 cents from Friday’s close.