Oil Prices Slide as Trump Unveils Overarching Energy and Trade Policies

By Published On: January 21, 2025Categories: Daily Market News & Insights, Fuel Prices

On Tuesday, oil prices dropped as markets weighed the implications of U.S. President Donald Trump’s energy and trade policies. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude declined just shy of $2 to $75.90. US markets were closed yesterday due to Martin Luther King Jr. Day, leaving Tuesday’s trading to absorb several days of political and market developments. A stronger U.S. dollar helped contribute to the drop in oil prices. When the dollar appreciates, oil becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, often leading to reduced demand.

President Donald Trump unveiled a comprehensive energy policy focused on maximizing domestic oil and gas production yesterday during his inauguration day. Key actions include revoking restrictions on drilling across 625 million acres of U.S. coastal waters, pausing federal spending on climate initiatives under the Inflation Reduction Act, and withdrawing from the Paris Climate Agreement. The administration also plans to end the electric vehicle mandate and suspend offshore wind lease sales, signaling a departure from the renewable energy focus of the previous administration.

Trump emphasized these measures as essential to lowering energy costs, boosting national security, and meeting rising electricity demand driven by technologies like data centers and AI. He also pledged to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which had been significantly depleted during the Ukraine crisis, potentially increasing U.S. crude oil demand.

The president also suggested imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico starting February 1 rather than immediately upon taking office as initially indicated. While the delay provided some temporary relief, the prospect of tariffs reignited market concerns about potential disruptions to North American trade.

In global developments, a potential resolution to Red Sea shipping disruptions is surfacing. Yemen’s Houthi rebels announced that they would restrict attacks on commercial vessels to those linked to Israel, provided a Gaza ceasefire agreement is upheld. The ceasefire, approved by Israel’s security cabinet, includes a six-week truce and a prisoner exchange deal.

These developments could ease concerns about disruptions in a critical supply route, reducing a risk premium previously factored into oil prices. However, vessels owned by Israeli individuals or flying the Israeli flag remain prohibited from transiting the Red Sea.

The Colonial Pipeline, a key conduit for transporting gasoline from Texas to North Carolina, resumed operations on Line 1 last Friday. The line, which carries approximately 1.5 Mbpd, had been shut down for repairs due to a leak. Its restart provides stability to gasoline supply on the East Coast, indirectly impacting the broader oil market.

This article is part of Daily Market News & Insights

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