Week in Review – Oil Rally Continues

Let’s start off with the most important fundamental market news this week – Groundhog Day! Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow, heralding six more weeks of winter weather. Of course, the creature only has a 39% accuracy rate – worse than flipping a coin! – so perhaps we ought to presume the opposite of his prediction […]

Vaccine News Sparked this Multi-Week Rally

On Tuesday, WTI crude closed higher as the vaccine rollout continues and hopes for another round of economic stimulus in the US grows. The market is giving back some of those gain this morning even in the face of favorable inventory news from the API. The rally that the market has been on began in […]

Mid-Week Review – January 13, 2021

Oil prices rise to near 1-year highs on vaccines, stimulus, and Saudi Arabian production cuts Oil prices rose on Wednesday to close to 1-year highs, as data hinted at stronger demand, while more stimulus and production cuts brightened the outlook. It is a remarkable turnaround for oil prices, after demand tanked during the first wave […]

Is the Vaccine Rally Finished?

Crude closed sharply lower on Monday as a new strain of COVID-19 was discovered in the United Kingdom. The new strain is more highly transmissible than current known strains of the virus. In response to the discovery, more than 40 countries have banned arrivals from the UK. The fear of the new strain of the […]

Despite Rally, Fuel Demand Remains Weak

Another day, another new multi-month high as WTI crude continues its vaccine rally. The FDA is vetting Moderna’s vaccine and has found it to be highly effective, setting the stage for a second vaccine approval. Additionally, the US government has secured an additional 100 million doses of the Moderna vaccine – enough to treat 50 […]

Large Crude Build Can’t Dampen Vaccine Optimism

WTI crude closed relatively flat yesterday even in the face of bearish inventory news reported by the EIA. A massive increase in crude stocks could not dampen the optimism generated by the beginning of the rollout of the coronavirus vaccine to the public. Crude is up in early trading this morning as vaccine optimism continues. […]

Vaccine Hopes Outweigh Bearish Inventory News

On Tuesday, WTI crude closed down slightly as US coronavirus cases topped 15 million. This bleak threshold was tempered by optimism in the market around the hope for vaccines’ success. Crude is up in early trading this morning as bearish inventory news is outweighed by news of the beginning of a mass vaccination program in […]

Mid-Week Review – December 9, 2020

Two small Iraqi oil wells set ablaze in ‘terrorist attack’, ministry says Two wells in a small oilfield in northern Iraq were set ablaze by explosives in a “terrorist attack” on Wednesday but overall production from the field was not affected, the Oil Ministry and officials said Wednesday. Click here to read more from Reuters. […]

Vaccine Optimism Trumps Bearish Inventory News

On Tuesday, WTI crude closed sharply higher following US equities. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 30,000 for the first time in history and crude followed to levels not seen since March. The major drivers lifting markets are news of multiple highly effective coronavirus vaccines and the beginning of the official transition of power […]

Mid-Week Review – November 25, 2020

Why The Vaccine Oil Rally Won’t Last Oil is on the rise after a third company developing a vaccine for Covid-19 announced positive efficacy results this week. They may well continue to rise for a while, but it would pay to be careful with betting on an endless rally. Click here to read more from […]

Market Condition Report - Disclaimer
The information contained herein is derived from sources believed to be reliable; however, this information is not guaranteed as to its accuracy or completeness. Furthermore, no responsibility is assumed for use of this material and no express or implied warranties or guarantees are made. This material and any view or comment expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an inducement or recommendation to buy or sell products, commodity futures or options contracts.

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